Dr. Judith Curry, a genuine climate scientist, discusses the scandal at NOAA regarding their temperature data and the effects of additional carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.
After Saturday's high in SW OK at Magnum 99° and other records broken elsewhere, I have friend believing more into the climate change theory. Do you know what was the main factors that caused the much above normal temps on Saturday?
There is no question that the warmer climate of the last 20 years plays a role in the warm weather of the last couple of days. I don't think this could have occurred in the 1960's, even give identical meteorological conditions.
Question is:
-- How much of this is recovery from the Little Ice Age?
-- How much of this is natural climate change?
-- How much of this is caused by human-inserted greenhouse gasses?
2am While the risk of tornadoes may continue during the night, this will have to end my coverage. Note the risk of tornadoes farther east later today. 1:35am Wednesday: Tornado watch will likely be issued for the outlined area, including the Kansas City Metro. Make sure you have a way to receive tornado warnings the rest of the night. 11:55p Tuesday: New tornado watch has just been issued for most south central (including Wichita), southeast and east central Kansas. This watch is in effect until 7am Wednesday. This is the overnight tornado threat we've been talking about. I am now providing additional updates on Twitter/X @usweatherexpert . --- original posting (still valid) --- Now until 7a Wednesday The tornado risk has decreased in Oklahoma south of I-40. 7am to Noon Wednesday For Wednesday morning, there is a significant chance of tornadoes in western and, especially, northern Missouri. It is unusual to have tornadoes during the morning....
A major windstorm is forecast for Oklahoma and Texas Sunday. This has the potential to cause widespread power failures. Please prepare now. More information below. 5:35pm: Particularly Dangerous Situation watch due to wind gusts forecast to reach 105 mph and with hail 5" in diameter. Tornadoes also possible. If you live in a mobile home, now is the time to determine your sheltering situation. I urge you to shelter before warnings are issued (spend the evening with friends or family). Power outages are likely. A mobile vehicle from the National Severe Storms Laboratory has already measured a gust of 90 mph! 3:05pm Update: Computer models have consistently increased their forecasts of peak wind gusts pertaining to north central Texas this evening. Wind gusts of 110 mph are possible. If correct, widespread power outages are likely. First Watch of the Day Pertaining to the Derecho In addition to the threat of tornadoes, wind gusts of 80...
It is imperative residents of the central Great Plains use the forecast to prepare for damaging winds and, perhaps, a tornado or two. Tornado Risk The brown area has been moved south into northern Oklahoma and now includes Bartlesville, Ponca City, Enid, and Stillwater, in addition to the cities shown. In Missouri, it includes Joplin and Nevada. Destructive Thunderstorm Winds Here is the color code: Pink and hatched: High risk of destructive winds of 75 mph or stronger. Red and hatched: Enhanced risk of wind gusts of 75 mph or stronger. Yellow: Significant risk of winds 60 mph or stronger. If you live in the red or pink areas, I urge you to prepare for the potential for power outages, some could last a day or more. Bring in lawn furniture or trampolines which could blow about and crash into other objects -- increasing damage. Put your car in the garage or carport.
After Saturday's high in SW OK at Magnum 99° and other records broken elsewhere, I have friend believing more into the climate change theory. Do you know what was the main factors that caused the much above normal temps on Saturday?
ReplyDeleteThere is no question that the warmer climate of the last 20 years plays a role in the warm weather of the last couple of days. I don't think this could have occurred in the 1960's, even give identical meteorological conditions.
ReplyDeleteQuestion is:
-- How much of this is recovery from the Little Ice Age?
-- How much of this is natural climate change?
-- How much of this is caused by human-inserted greenhouse gasses?
Answers? We don't know.