Love the book, Mike. Got it for my iPad via the Kindle reader. Really well written, easy to understand without becoming too technical in meteorological terminology. I remember seeing those weather warnings with the incorrect storm locations and its direction of travel.
I own the DVD the Jeff and Kathryn P. made of their adventure/nightmare of that day. Very tough to watch.
John Sacrey NWS Storm Spotter Benton, AR http://sacrey.info
Mike - I just read the book and it was outstanding! Nice work and really well written. I look forward to backtracking through "Warnings" now (which arrived just yesterday along with this book). I am curious about something though. With all the errors NWS Springfield made that day, could that manifest into some sort of liability issue between them and the City of Joplin? Would it even be possible for the City to sue NWS for "negligence"? I guess that seems a bit far fetched but when you compare this against the April 27th, 2011 Outbreak, since the number of deaths in that oubreak was not necessairly preventable due to the earlier convection that caused severe infrastructure problems. But there were no infrastructure issues in southern Missouri that day. Some citizens of Will County did sue the NWS in 1993 as a result of the 1990 Plainfield tornado (http://www.deseretnews.com/article/307628/ILLINOIS-RESIDENTS-SUE-AGENCY-SAY-TORNADO-WARNINGS-INADEQUATE.html) but I was unable to find the outcome of that lawsuit. What do you think?
I found the following passage from a Google Books version of "The Tornado: Nature's Ultimate Windstorm" by Thomas Grazulis. It occurs in the midst of a paragraph discussing the possibility of lawsuits arising from a violent tornado strike on a large gathering or sports event:
"No matter what decision is made, fault will certainly be found.... Legal action, citing inadequate forecasting, is not unknown. In August 1993, two of the people who were injured at Plainfield, Illinois, along with the survivors of twelve people who were killed, sued the NWS for $74 million. The suit was eventually dismissed."
If you scroll back to the beginning of that particular chapter, you will find an eerily prophetic statement:
"It seems inevitable, however, that a killer tornado with a death toll of one hundred or more people will strike the United States at some time in the future." (The book was written in 2001)
Grazulis also goes on to say that "spikes" in the tornado death toll should be expected in the 21st century when tornadoes occur "at exactly the wrong time and in exactly the wrong place."
More heavy rain (snow in the mountains) forecast. Rains have already begun over the southern two-thirds of the state. See 3:15pm radar below. In addition, there is small risk of a tornado, especially tomorrow morning, in coastal areas of Southern California, shown in dark green.
The title of this essay is from a press release that indirectly "blames the victim." The author is Sedgwick County Emergency Management regarding a fatal tornado that occurred just north of Wichita at 1:14 this morning. The tornado was rated EF-2 ("strong") intensity. I believe the wording is unfortunate as discussed below. Photo: KAKE.com. Note that with a basement, as little as seconds to dash down the stairs might have been sufficient to avoid injury. In what has increasingly and unfortunately become the norm in tornado situations, no NWS tornado warning was issued even though: Rotation was depicted on radar Radar shows lofted debris People from outside the NWS are observing tornadoes and bringing them to NWS's and the public's attention. I want to be clear: the tornado formed practically on top of the home and there was probably no way to have warned in time to help the man killed. But there is absolutely no reason a tornado warning could not have bee...
This past Friday, we had a great example of how a meteorologist can tell the difference between side-lobes (a false echo that mimics a tornado's circulation on radar) and one indicating a tornado is forming or in progress. I'm going to walk you through it so young meteorologists, in a similar case, won't make the mistake of mistaking side lobes for a tornado. This case was in north central Texas on February 2nd. I'm using the Abilene/Sweetwater WSR-88D and the software is RadarScope. When I draw on one panel of the screen, it shows up on the other in the same place, so the measurements are about as exact as any in meteorology. The Thunderstorm Cluster, 4:24pm Above is a cluster of thunderstorms with the two storms with arrows starting to transition to supercells. We already have the northern storm (just south of Aspermont) moving north northeast. In a situation like this, the storm will likely be "a hailer" -- meaning it is likely to produce hail, possibly ...
I need to get a copy! Is it at Watermark??
ReplyDeleteYes, Watermark has it.
ReplyDeleteIt is also at Amazon, Kindle and Nook.
Love the book, Mike. Got it for my iPad via the Kindle reader. Really well written, easy to understand without becoming too technical in meteorological terminology. I remember seeing those weather warnings with the incorrect storm locations and its direction of travel.
ReplyDeleteI own the DVD the Jeff and Kathryn P. made of their adventure/nightmare of that day. Very tough to watch.
John Sacrey
NWS Storm Spotter
Benton, AR
http://sacrey.info
Mike - I just read the book and it was outstanding! Nice work and really well written. I look forward to backtracking through "Warnings" now (which arrived just yesterday along with this book). I am curious about something though. With all the errors NWS Springfield made that day, could that manifest into some sort of liability issue between them and the City of Joplin? Would it even be possible for the City to sue NWS for "negligence"? I guess that seems a bit far fetched but when you compare this against the April 27th, 2011 Outbreak, since the number of deaths in that oubreak was not necessairly preventable due to the earlier convection that caused severe infrastructure problems. But there were no infrastructure issues in southern Missouri that day. Some citizens of Will County did sue the NWS in 1993 as a result of the 1990 Plainfield tornado (http://www.deseretnews.com/article/307628/ILLINOIS-RESIDENTS-SUE-AGENCY-SAY-TORNADO-WARNINGS-INADEQUATE.html) but I was unable to find the outcome of that lawsuit. What do you think?
ReplyDelete@Pete. I'm not an attorney, but I would tend to doubt it. They were clearly watching the storms and issuing warnings.
ReplyDeletePete,
ReplyDeleteI found the following passage from a Google Books version of "The Tornado: Nature's Ultimate Windstorm" by Thomas Grazulis. It occurs in the midst of a paragraph discussing the possibility of lawsuits arising from a violent tornado strike on a large gathering or sports event:
"No matter what decision is made, fault will certainly be found.... Legal action, citing inadequate forecasting, is not unknown. In August 1993, two of the people who were injured at Plainfield, Illinois, along with the survivors of twelve people who were killed, sued the NWS for $74 million. The suit was eventually dismissed."
If you scroll back to the beginning of that particular chapter, you will find an eerily prophetic statement:
"It seems inevitable, however, that a killer tornado with a death toll of one hundred or more people will strike the United States at some time in the future." (The book was written in 2001)
Grazulis also goes on to say that "spikes" in the tornado death toll should be expected in the 21st century when tornadoes occur "at exactly the wrong time and in exactly the wrong place."
Elaine