tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965215084022057128.post2647065743720319752..comments2024-03-28T14:54:34.646-05:00Comments on MSE CREATIVE CONSULTING BLOG: "The Only Accurate Part of This Cover is 'Stupid'"Mike Smithhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17435605216805307424noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965215084022057128.post-76841555393219258532012-11-03T23:33:59.447-05:002012-11-03T23:33:59.447-05:00Mike,
A lot of people don't understand what &...Mike,<br /><br />A lot of people don't understand what "100-year storm" means. It's for a specific locale, not for the nation as a whole.<br /><br />Sandy was a 100 year storm for what, all of 150 miles of coastline? Sandy was *not* a 100 year storm in Cape May, nor in Islip.<br /><br />Katrina was also a 100 year storm from what, New Orleans to Biloxi? But not even in Lafayette, Pensacola, or even parts of Plaquemines parish.<br /><br />Irene was a 100 year storm in parts of the Catskills and Vermont, but no where else.<br /><br />Even Ike was a 50-100 year storm from Galveston to Port Arthur.<br /><br />But much of the coast hasn't been hit by 100 year storms during the last, oh, 100 or so years, eh?<br /><br />Yet we keep hearing the refrain in the media, including from Mayor Bloomie himself, that 100 year storms seem to be happening every few years.Stevehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11574596367875858439noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965215084022057128.post-9256537711830453022012-11-03T14:55:06.518-05:002012-11-03T14:55:06.518-05:00@ Trey. Your point about normalized time for each ...@ Trey. Your point about normalized time for each Co2 increment is appropriate. Take a look at this which IS normalized. It is both tropical cyclone number and their energy, combined: http://policlimate.com/tropical/global_running_pdi.png<br /><br />As you can see, there is a downtrend rather than up. <br /><br />@Carfree. Thanks for hanging in there. If you can tell me the specific scientific point(s) you disagree with, I'll be happy to do a posting about it and provide the documentation. <br /><br />@All Readers: This is in no way a political issue for me. I have children, want grandchildren and consider myself an environmentalist in the Barry Goldwater mold. Mike Smithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17435605216805307424noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965215084022057128.post-52776057334582725002012-11-03T14:37:30.593-05:002012-11-03T14:37:30.593-05:00Mike, you and Roger Pielke Jr have had excellent p...Mike, you and Roger Pielke Jr have had excellent posts on Sandy. Thanks.<br /><br />For new readers, Roger has a summary post at<br /><br />http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.com/2012/11/a-summary-of-sandy-discussions.html<br /><br />along with <br /><br />http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.com/2012/11/mayor-bloombergs-deft-climate-politics.html<br /><br />that are highly recommended.<br /><br />I agree with the Stupid nature of the Bloomberg magazine cover, but I found Anthony's plot of 'US Hurricane Strikes vs Atmospheric CO2' to be bogus; CO2 has only been at 390 ppm briefly compared to 280. One must normalize by amount of time spent in at a CO2 concentration, and even then, the data set is probably too small to get any reliable statistics. <br />Treyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18298361364901323657noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965215084022057128.post-21497014073153882702012-11-03T12:04:02.437-05:002012-11-03T12:04:02.437-05:00I happen to be one of the new readers who found th...I happen to be one of the new readers who found this site because of super storm Sandy. Though I completely disagree with several of the "science" points made above - I greatly appreciate the forecasting / storm specific info provided on this blog. Carfree in San Diegohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02479335618271945746noreply@blogger.com