Thursday, December 2, 2021

A 45-Day Precipitation Outlook

Via the ECMWF model, considered the best in the world, here is its 45-day precipitation outlook to mid-January. It shows some easing of the drought in the West, a snowy Great Lakes region and increasing dryness from the central Great Plains to Texas. 

Note: This should not be considered an iron-clad forecast but rather a general idea of conditions. 

Hat tip: Dr. Ryan Maue

In the meantime, here is the 15-day precipitation amount forecast, also from the ECMWF. First, the total precipitation forecast:

And, below, is the deviation from normal precipitation amounts:
Again, these are not ironclad forecasts but they do have some meteorological skill. 

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