Thursday, July 30, 2020

Darn! Tropical Storm Isaias Update

The European model (the best at forecasting hurricanes), the U.S. GFS model, and the U.S. HWRF (a hurricane model) both indicate Isaias will become a hurricane and will come close to the U.S. coast or make landfall. 
This is the European's depiction. It shows the storm -- as a hurricane -- striking southeast North Carolina, moving back over the ocean and reintensifying, and then striking Long Island. The HWRF is similar. 

We have a policy of not worrying about every tropical low pressure system. However, there is enough evidence now that I would recommend readers along the East Coast start paying attention to this system. 

When the National Hurricane Center makes its 5pm EDT forecast, I will post it. Stay tuned. 

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