Wednesday, April 29, 2020

A Review of Yesterday's Forecast

I thought it was important, after the strongly-worded forecasts of yesterday that I review them. 
On the left is a map of storm reports. Additional reports will be added today but they are enough upon which to base an assessment of the forecast. Greens are large hail. Blues are winds. On the right was the forecast. The geography aspect of the forecast was quire good. It gets an A.

The intensify aspect was overdone. There were many reports in the 60 to 65 mph range. Those caused some scattered power outages and other damage. But, wind force (the power in the wind) is a square function. So, the 75-85 mph wind gusts I was expecting would have caused much more damage to the grid. I give myself a C-.

Thank you for reading.

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