Saturday, February 16, 2019

I Guess I Won't Be Invited to Jennifer Anniston's 51st Birthday Party

It may be that Jennifer Anniston "believes" in global warming but she certainly doesn't seem to want to do anything about it -- apparently, it is our job to cut our carbon footprints while hers is the size of Idaho's.

In fact, she even did an unfunny skit on Jimmy Kimmel mocking global warming skeptics.

However, like just about all high-profile global warming zealots, she does not practice what she preaches.
The occupant of the plane (above) was Jennifer Anniston and a number of her guests to continue the celebration of her 50th birthday. The plane had to make an emergency landing yesterday en-route to Cabo.

I checked: There are 21 flights (!) per day from Southern California to Cabo. Most of those have first class cabins and would cost a small fraction of the price of chartering a Gulfstream.

But, regardless of cost, we have yet another global warming hypocrite. Private jets are the most carbon-intensive mode of travel.

I'll believe global warming is a crisis when the people who tell me it's a crisis start acting like it's a crisis. -- Glenn Reynolds

Friday, February 15, 2019

Measles: It Doesn't Have to Be This Way

Ascel Bio has an insightful article about the measles outbreak in the Northwest and how we can prevent future outbreaks. Highly recommended reading. 

President Trump: Peace in the Middle East??

Kathleen had the channel on Fox News yesterday and I saw this video.

The thought occurred to me, "What are the two of them doing in Poland?" That was never mentioned on the newscast in any detail.

Assuming this report is correct, the answer is fascinating and very hopeful. It could be that President Trump may achieve peace in the Middle East. Let's pray that it is the case.

But, here is also an important question: Where is the U.S. news media on this story? The reporting, so far, such as it is, seems rather incomplete.

An Interview With the New White House Science Advisor

Thrilled my friend, Dr. Kelvin Droegemeier, is in the office. The Science interview is here.

Thursday, February 14, 2019

Unfortunately, The National Weather Service is About to Make a Big Mistake

The Capital Weather Gang has a wonderful analysis, here.

Here is the crux of the matter: Very few of the people in the highest levels of the National Weather Service have been field forecasters with their daily reputations on the line. To them, it is about the quality of the physics and measures such as "root mean square at 500 millibars" which mean little to consumers of weather information.

Thus, they see it as a step up because it has better physics even though the quality of its forecasts are a clear step backward.

I strongly recommend the NWS postpone the roll-out until they do the (already planned for 2020) upgrade that is in the works and then do thorough testing.

Great Books!

No more need be said.


The link to Warnings is here.

And, the link to When The Sirens Were Silent is here.

Wednesday, February 13, 2019

Happy Birthday, Chuck!

Today is Gen. Chuck Yeager's 96th Birthday
Chuck is as sharp as ever and just posted this item on Twitter.
To celebrate his birthday, Smithsonian has a very cool 3-D view of the cockpit of Glamorous Glennis here.

My wish for all of my readers is to be as sharp as Chuck at age 96.

The #1 Thing Missing From Big Climate

Dozens of time on this blog we have recounted the hypocrisy of the catastrophic global warming movement.
Last week we learned about the cow-murdering, airplane-grounding Green New Deal. Ironically, if media reports are correct, Bernie Sanders and (now) Representative Ocasio-Cortez flew a private jet to Kansas to campaign for
Democratic congressional candidate James Thompson. Under her [il]logic, it is fine for her to take private jets (the most carbon-intense form of travel) while the rest of us have to take a bus?

I actually like her passion and we had a nice exchange on Twitter over the summer. But, I simply don't understand why she, Sanders, Al Gore, Brad Pitt, Hillary Clinton, etc., etc., fail to understand how their blatant hypocrisy undermines the case for reasonable action on global warming.

Tuesday, February 12, 2019

Wonderful News For Our Nation

Finally....
Dr. Kelvin Droegemeier has been sworn in as White House Science Advisor. I can't think of a better person for the job. He was sworn yesterday in by Vice President Pence. Congratulations, Kelvin!!

Monday, February 11, 2019

More of What TV Meteorologists Have to Deal With

She was on the air last week warning of flash flooding where two people died! Yet, instead of being worried about their fellow citizens, they were worried about watching their program and taking it out on meteorologist Katy Morgan.

It seems women meteorologists still are not accepted for their competence or expertise.

Thank You, "Warnings" Readers!!

More than 70 copies sold in the past five days!

As tornado season is just around the corner, the story of how tornado warnings came to be (along with hurricane and aviation storm warnings) is timely. Weather science has cut fatalities from tornadoes by more than 95%. It is a gripping, uplifting story. You can read the first chapter, free, here.

Some reviews:
Amazon is having one of its periodic sales.
So, grab a copy for your spring vacation. You won't be sorry.

When It Is Hot, Apparently Weather IS Climate

There have been several Twitterstorms recently when President Trump tweaked catastrophic global warming advocates by saying -- during these recent extreme cold spells -- "we could use some global warming right now" or words to that effect.
The usual suspects immediately jump on Twitter to patronizingly explain that weather isn't climate (even though it is).
But, whenever hot weather occurs, it is due to global warming. Perfect example this morning.
As of when I did the screen capture, no one was condemning Mr. Hare for not understanding "weather isn't climate."

It is a shame that climatology has largely deteriorated into politics and virtue signaling. Science, at best, is a distant third.

"Climate Hypochondriacs"

Dr. Judith Curry has coined a new term, "climate hypochondria." I love it. Thursday, she posted:
Amen! Her entire post is here.

Saturday, February 9, 2019

Thank You, Chasercon!!

Wow.  Just amazing. We had an overflow crowd. People flew to Wichita from New Zealand, Vancouver, New York, Los Angeles, Atlanta, etc., etc., to attend Chasercon '19.
Greg Forbes of "The Weather Channel" Presenting at Chasercon This Morning

I want to thank Roger Hill for allowing me to deliver the Keynote address. I had a wonderful time and learned a lot.

ADDITION: Here is a great video summing up the weekend.

Weather Forecasting Excellence Recognized

Finally, maybe weather science is getting some of the credit it deserves.

Friday, February 8, 2019

"What In the Wide, Wide World of Sports Isa Goin' On Here?!"

What Kathleen and I were doing 45 years ago this evening.

Since this is a family blog, I can't show much, but if you have never seen Blazing Saddles here is Sheriff Bart heading out into the dessert to take over law enforcement in Rock Ridge. 

Chasercon '19 Opens This Evening in Wichita

See you at the Hyatt for the opening reception this evening and thoughtout the day tomorrow. Really looking forward to it. I think you will enjoy the keynote speech I have prepared for Saturday evening's dinner.

Please follow me on Twitter (@usweatherexpert) and here for additional coverage of the event.

Please Be Careful About the Flu

News out of northern North Carolina:
The risk of getting the flu can be minimized. You can get the latest influenza risk forecast, advice for preventing the flu and links to the most effective prevention products here.

After being in the "high" risk area during the latter half of January, Ascel Bio's latest influenza risk forecast shows the situation should ease in the Virginia-North Carolina region.
Influenza Risk, 9am Friday, February 8
The goal of Diseasecast, is to forecast the conditions for the transmission of diseases in much the same way as meteorologists forecast the weather (and, weather is a significant factor in how likely it is for diseases to spread).

NOAA's Latest Global Warming Propaganda

Definition of "Disaster:"

noun

calamitous event, especially one occurring 
suddenly and causing great loss of life, damage, 
or hardship, as a flood, airplane crash, or business failure.
Merriam-Webster.

A disaster is an "event," not a "series of events." Please note the definition uses as an example "a flood," not a "series of floods."

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) issued more global warming propaganda earlier this week in the form of another of its Billion Dollar 'Disaster' Maps.
By any definition of the word, "disaster," the map is nothing but global warming propaganda.

A billion-dollar tornado? Yes, such a thing exists: The Joplin, MO Tornado of 2011 caused $2.8 billion in damage. But a "billion dollar tornado" is not:

A "disaster" is a singular, distinct event. It is most certainly not a bunch of unrelated storms (that don't even make the grade to be called a tornado "outbreak") grouped together solely for the purpose of calling it a "billion-dollar disaster," so they can be put on a map created for a press conference.

Here are more examples:

Summer fires + Autumn fires + California fires ≠ A "Disaster."

Yes, California's "Camp" Fire was a billion-dollar disaster and, by itself, is appropriate to put on the map. But, it is not correct to throw in two seasons' fires along with it. By grouping these together and calling them a "disaster," NOAA can make the dubious claim the cost of disasters rises annually due to global warming.

More: Since when do hail storms last two days and cover vast geographic regions?


This map is bad science and bad climatology. NOAA should withdraw it. 

Unscientific advocacy is why many people believe global warming -- a genuine problem --  is fake news.

Thursday, February 7, 2019

Influenza Ramping Up

From my Twitter feed minutes ago:

Here is the latest Influenza Risk Map from Ascel Bio and Big Data Media:
If you are in a high risk area, it is vital that you use the forecasts, advice and products available at Diseasecast.com.

The Hypocrisy of Big Environment

More here. It is amazing Big Environment, which uses the Third World as a literal dumping ground and -- to save the planet! -- wants to deny it electricity to stop global warming, continues to be viewed as "humanitarian."

Wednesday, February 6, 2019

Out-Of-Season Tornado Risk

The area in brown has a significant risk of tornadoes later today or tonight.
Please keep up on the weather if you live in this region.

Tuesday, February 5, 2019

Potentially Dangerous Icing

Here is the latest radar (7:30pm) showing an increasing area of freezing rain -- along with lightning -- developing over the Ozarks.
Pinks are freezing rain with darker shades meaning heavier rates of rainfall. The precipitation is moving northeast.

A reliable computer model is indicating there could be heavy ice accumulations in places.
That is two-thirds of an inch of glazed ice forecast for the area around the Lake of the Ozarks and points west to the Missouri border. This would be sufficient for localized power failures.

For my readers in the Wichita area, note that 0.02" of freezing rain is forecast to fall late tonight to noon Wednesday. That is more than the amount that caused all of the traffic problems this morning.

An ice storm warning (purple) is also in effect farther north across northern Illinois, including Chicago.
Please react accordingly.

An Interesting 'Storm' Warning Down Under

Wall Street Journal


Happy National Meteorologists Day!!

Very best wishes to all meteorologists across the United States.

Monday, February 4, 2019

Pretty Well Sums It Up

Gas Prices: News You Can Use


Heads Up: Travel Nightmare Ahead

Widespread icing is going to occur throughout the Midwest. This is going to affect highways as well as the airline hubs at Chicago and Detroit. Please plan accordingly and, if possible, be proactive. If you must travel, get there before the storm begins.

Chasercon Begins Friday Evening

The world's largest meeting of storm chasers, storm tourism, and meteorologists will convene in Wichita Friday evening at the Hyatt Regency Hotel. You can still register by going here. Weather aficionados are welcome and encouraged.

We will be selling copies of Warnings at Chasercon. If you already have a copy and would like to get it autographed, just bring it and look me up at the meeting. I will be chairing the law enforcement panel at 2:15 Saturday and the keynote speaker at the dinner Saturday evening.

Sunday, February 3, 2019

Attention Catholics!

[While I invite everyone to read this posting, it is specifically
directed toward Catholics]
I have the privilege of being a Eucharistic Minister at St. Thomas Aquinas parish in Wichita. For non-Catholics, that means that the priest consecrates the hosts which are (Alka Seltzer-sized, but thinner) discs of unleavened bread into the genuine Body of Jesus Christ. More on the Sacrament of Holy Eucharist (its official name) here.

Because our congregation is quite large (the photo doesn't fully convey the size of the church with its cry room, choir loft, etc.), the Church (in our case the Diocese of Wichita) trains and commissions people to assist the priest by distributing the Eucharist to the congregation.
If able, please extend your tongue a bit
farther than pictured above. 
Now, the point of this posting: if you decide to receive the Eucharist on the tongue, rather than in your hands, here are some helpful suggestions that will make things easier for you and easier for the priest or the eucharistic minister.
  • When it is your turn, move into position and stop! Don't keep "drifting" toward the priest or minister. 
  • Open your mouth moderately wide (perhaps wider than you would instinctively). Keep your head stationary until you feel the host on your tongue. 
  • Extend your tongue as far as you conformably can and leave it extended until, again, you feel the host make contact with your tongue. 
  • Then, close, take a quick glance around, and reverently move away so the next person can receive Communion. 
What brought all of this up? Today, I dropped a host for the first time in two decades. Fortunately, I caught it before it could hit the floor. As I was trying to place the host on her tongue, she prematurely closed her mouth and moved her head forward and knocked the host out of my land. 

There was a second recipient who did everything right until he abruptly moved forward as I was placing it on his tongue and I poked him on the upper lip (sorry about that!). 

If everyone will keep these suggestions in mind, receiving the Eucharist will be easier for all concerned.