Sunday, November 5, 2017

Significant Tornado Risk in the Midwest

An Out-of-Season Risk of Tornadoes
Any time of year a 5% (brown) risk of tornadoes is significant. A 10% elevated risk is quite significant. So, please make sure your family members and friends are aware that tornado watches may be needed later today along with the possibility of taking shelter during tornado warnings.

In addition, there is a rare (for this time of year) chance of very large hail in the hatched area. For hail, the significant threshold of 1" hail is 15%, the red area is where the chance is 30%. Hatching is where the two inch or larger hail is forecast.
I will update this once this afternoon but will not be able to live-blog storms later today.

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