Wednesday, October 4, 2017

10:00am Wednesday: Update on Incipient Hurricane Nate

Okay, the National Hurricane Center has issued its 10am advisory and I've had a chance to look it over. Their forecast map is below.
While the forecast shows a Hurricane Nate striking the Florida Big Bend area, that is a low probability forecast at this point. Please don't focus on the "H" ( = hurricane). Once the Hurricane Hunter aircraft is able to measure the area of low pressure this afternoon and we receive tonight's computer runs, we will be able to specify a possible path with much more confidence.

For now, I would consider the Gulf coast from Louisiana to Florida as candidates for landfall. 

As for preparation advice, it has not changed since my forecast below.

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