As you know, I try to go back and publicly validate my forecasts that are posted on my blog. On Friday, I published the flash flood risk forecast at right (below). At left is the amount of rain that actually fell.
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On the map at left yellow equals 2.5 to 2.9 inches of rain which would be a reasonable threshold of flash flood risk. The red is 6 inches or more. East of Kansas City, nearly 9 inches fell.
So, this would be rated a successful forecast.
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