Tuesday, March 21, 2017

Ten Day Rainfall Forecast From Three Computer Models

GFS Model

This is usually the least skillful model.

CMC Model

ECMWF Model
The ECMWF is usually the best model for this purpose.

Let me stress that none of these models should be taken literally. The best way to use them would be to blur them together to get a general idea of rainfall amounts over the region during the next ten days.

There will be periods of tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in the central and southern Great Plains but those are too difficult to pin down at this point. Here is the one I expect late this week.

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