For tornadoes, 5% is the significant threat (when broken out separately from large hail and damaging winds). This afternoon and evening's threat extends from southwest Kansas to west central Texas.
|This is a revised forecast at 8:13am.|
Unfortunately, the SPC does not break out the tornado risk separately beyond the first day. For the combined probabilities 15% (yellow) is the significant threshold. The hatched area is where very large hail and tornadoes (in my opinion) are more likely to occur.
More thunderstorms are forecast later in the week. Stay tuned!