Here is the forecast posted on this blog at 4:44pm Wednesday, two full days before the heavy rains began falling anywhere in the state:
This advance in weather science capability is remarkable. As one railroad person put it:
Here is a comparison of what actually fell versus the above forecast (yellow line). The rose color = 7" or more. White = more than 16 inches. I think you'll agree the forecast was, as one put it, "spot on."
Extreme floods of this nature used to kill hundreds of people. Currently, the death toll is reported to be 14.
The advance warnings were a combination of the talent of experienced, well-trained meteorologists, state-of-the-art computer models and weather satellite observations of the air with the extremely high moisture content that would be forced to move northwest over South Carolina. When a forecast of this nature must be made, the meteorologists get extremely apprehensive because of the "out on a limb" nature of these forecasts of extreme conditions.
The National Weather Service, AccuWeather, and other meteorological organizations should be congratulated for their lifesaving work.
Meteorology is, by far, the most successful predictive science...at an annual cost of less than a Big Mac.
I especially encourage you to drop a note to the TV meteorologist in the Carolinas you were watching for coverage of the storms. I'm certain they put in incredible hours under great stress behind-the-scenes and would appreciate the recognition.