Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm Outlook Next Three Days

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For late this afternoon and tonight:
Yes, there could be one or two tornadoes in this area. I do think this is going to be late afternoon before any thunderstorms begin and more likely this evening. AccuWeather has more details.

For Thursday afternoon and night:
Keeping in mind that 15% is the significant threshold on today and tomorrow's charts, the 30% hatched area is where the tornado risk is most concentrated along with a chance of damaging winds and very large hail.

Friday afternoon and night:

Comments

  1. DelurmMay 7, 2014 at 9:49 AM

    Hey Mike - question on this type of chart (noticed this last night looking at them and figured I'd ask you) - I live in the middle of Illinois - I look at these and say 'Thursday it's just to the left of me - Friday it's just to the right of me - so... it just goes over me without a risk?' - that is to say - if it's moving east - I kind of expect an elevated chance over mid Illinois - but I have no idea when based on the risk maps put out - other than guessing Thursday night.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Mike SmithMay 7, 2014 at 9:54 AM

    The thunderstorms tend to weaken during the night, thus the severe weather threat appearing to jump over you. Thanks for the question.

    ReplyDelete
  3. ToddMOMay 7, 2014 at 12:05 PM

    After the recent Quapaw, OK and Baxter Springs, KS tornado event, I am just glad that the weather office in Springfield, MO has pretty much ruled out tornadic storms with this next system. Unfortunately though we still could see large hail and damaging straight line winds. :(

    ReplyDelete
  4. Mike SmithMay 7, 2014 at 12:25 PM

    I might disagree with SGF's assessment.

    ReplyDelete

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