At 2pm EDT, Hurricane Sandy was on predicted course with 75 mph winds and a central barometric pressure 951 millibars.
This is the predicted wind field for 2pm EDT. It compares reasonably well with current weather station measurements if you use it for wind gusts in miles an hour. For example, Norfolk, VA is gusting to 50 mph.
So, how does the wind field change over time?
8am EDT Monday
2pm EDT Monday
8pm EDT Monday
The storm from there moves inland and gradually weakens but may still cause gusts above 50 mph over the eastern Great Lakes region.
The Storm Surge
Let's take a minute to consider what I believe is the under-considered aspect of this storm: The storm surge. These forecasts do not include wave action which could be an additional 10 to 20 ft. in some areas!
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The Battery, NY
Addition at 2:45pm CDT (see below):
Atlantic City, NJ
I'm concerned that most due not understand the level of threat due to Hurricane Sandy's storm surge.
The posting below, "Finish Preparations" has the rest of the information about snow, etc.
This is going to be the last "comprehensive" update because if you are not wrapping up preparations now, it is going to be too late by the time the next computer model cycle finishes (i.e., darkness and increasing winds).
From this point on, I'm going to "nowcast" the storm (i.e., point out important short-term storm highlights) as it approaches and moves inland. I'm literally writing this on I-70 crossing the Missouri River near Columbia as Mindy drives us to St. Louis for tomorrow's talks.
Hope you have ready to hunker down for one of Mother Nature's great shows.