Sunday, June 24, 2012

Model versus Model: The Latest on Debby


The latest forecast from the National Hurricane Center has Hurricane (Cat. 1 intensity) striking Louisiana Thursday night.

However, this is an extremely low confidence forecast.  The European model which has, by far, the best track record says it will go west.  The GFS model says it will hit Florida.

My advice: If you reside or are vacationing in the northern Gulf coast (Victoria, TX to New Orleans to Tampa) pay attention to the weather forecasts and warnings.

Wherever it comes ashore, heavy rains will occur.

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